Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 0.074971 0.087021 0.100197 0.115649 0.133248 0.152639 0.175597
2025-01-26 0.059948 0.076696 0.096640 0.122033 0.153381 0.190684 0.238293
2025-02-02 0.049270 0.068682 0.093590 0.127628 0.172625 0.229729 0.307280
2025-02-09 0.038322 0.057842 0.084665 0.123753 0.178694 0.252503 0.358344
2025-02-16 0.031179 0.050580 0.078935 0.122687 0.187591 0.279213 0.416904
2025-02-23 0.025246 0.043828 0.072594 0.119385 0.192306 0.299966 0.468714
2025-03-02 0.020842 0.038551 0.067472 0.116857 0.197358 0.321128 0.522588
2025-03-09 0.018053 0.035384 0.065097 0.118101 0.208037 0.351365 0.592537
2025-03-16 0.015028 0.031215 0.060336 0.114575 0.210287 0.368231 0.642651
2025-03-23 0.013800 0.030133 0.060757 0.119922 0.227838 0.411201 0.738408
2025-03-30 0.012178 0.027975 0.058856 0.120755 0.237443 0.441532 0.815442
2025-04-06 0.010415 0.025195 0.055338 0.118036 0.240192 0.460078 0.873560
2025-04-13 0.008995 0.022926 0.052565 0.116526 0.245267 0.483644 0.943448
2025-04-20 0.008464 0.022558 0.053653 0.122881 0.266104 0.537652 1.072692
2025-04-27 0.007911 0.022039 0.054337 0.128472 0.285999 0.591588 1.206157
2025-05-04 0.006737 0.019761 0.050788 0.124555 0.286162 0.607958 1.270330
2025-05-11 0.005918 0.018219 0.048672 0.123473 0.292025 0.635778 1.358507
2025-05-18 0.005085 0.016458 0.045753 0.120147 0.292652 0.653087 1.427256
2025-05-25 0.004411 0.014994 0.043319 0.117602 0.294645 0.673206 1.502994
2025-06-01 0.004003 0.014217 0.042509 0.118853 0.305268 0.712042 1.619666
2025-06-08 0.003444 0.012850 0.039918 0.115305 0.304373 0.726230 1.686001
2025-06-15 0.003292 0.012750 0.040769 0.120683 0.325155 0.789033 1.859782
2025-06-22 0.002991 0.012088 0.039936 0.121521 0.335010 0.828425 1.985862